user-generated· regulatory
U.S. imposes unilateral secondary sanctions on European firms aiding…
Market overview
Despite NATO's lack of formal support, Trump will likely escalate pressure by targeting European companies facilitating trade with Iran to force compliance and address his criticism of NATO allies' inaction.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The U.S. Treasury Department or State Department announces new secondary sanctions against at least 10 European firms or financial institutions for engaging in activities that materially support Iran's economy or military.
Source: user-generated
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