Will the US Treasury Department issue new sanctions against Iran related to its oil exports by March 31, 2025?

If a deal does not materialize or if Iran's nuclear program progresses, the US might impose further sanctions. The 'energy insiders in DC' would be discussing such potential policy responses. However, the US may also prioritize diplomatic efforts over immediate new sanctions.

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-09