St Petersburg oil terminal not fully operational for over 6 months after strike
Resolves: Independent verification (e.g., satellite imagery, Russian official statements, or shipping data) confirms the St Petersburg oil terminal is not fully operational for more than 180 consecutive days following the July 2026 attack.
St Petersburg oil terminal not fully operational for over 6 months af…
Market overview
The St Petersburg oil terminal, capable of producing 12.5 million tonnes of petroleum products annually, will remain non-operational for more than six months. Persistent Ukrainian drone threats and ongoing repairs prevent full resumption of activity.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Independent verification (e.g., satellite imagery, Russian official statements, or shipping data) confirms the St Petersburg oil terminal is not fully operational for more than 180 consecutive days following the July 2026 attack.
Source: user-generated
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