UK bond yields will rise 25 basis points by December 2027 amid inflation concerns

The UK's surprise growth and front-loading activity may signal rising inflationary pressures, despite the Iran war's initial impact. The IMF's warning about the UK's vulnerability to the war could resurface, leading to higher bond yields. Investors may reassess the Bank of England's policy stance, contributing to yield increases.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2027-12-31