Will the United States lift any existing economic sanctions against Iran by December 31, 2023?

While the ambassador's comment is conciliatory, the core issues between the US and Iran often revolve around sanctions and nuclear programs. A significant gesture of goodwill from the US would be sanction relief, but this is highly unlikely without major concessions from Iran. This question assesses the likelihood of a tangible policy shift.

Implied probability (Yes)

5%

Closes

2026-09-11