Colombia’s coffee exports to U.S. decline by 15% by December 2026

Market overview

Colombia, the world’s second-largest coffee producer, has imposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods. Increased trade barriers are likely to reduce Colombian coffee shipments to the U.S. market by the end of 2026.

trade prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-12-31

More trade markets

• Colombia expands coffee exports to China by December 2026 — 72% Yes
• China signs new 5-year soybean trade deal with US by Q4 2026 — 60% Yes
• Colombia expands coffee exports to EU to offset U.S. tariff impact by 2026-12-31 — 60% Yes
• Colombia exports 15% more arabica to EU by October 2026 — 72% Yes
• U.S. imposes new tariffs on Chinese solar panels by October 2026 — 68% Yes
• NZ agricultural exports to Brazil rise 15% by 2029 — 60% Yes
• Colombia expands coffee exports to Europe by December 2026 — 68% Yes
• Colombian coffee exports to U.S. decline 15% by 2026-12-31 — 80% Yes

Browse all trade markets →