Decline in US church attendance continues through 2026
Resolves: Official U.S. survey data (e.g., Pew Research Center or Gallup) confirms a year-over-year decline in church attendance or membership numbers for 2026.
user-generated· adoption
Decline in US church attendance continues through 2026
Market overview
Church closures have accelerated, with widespread reports of shuttered congregations. The trend of declining religious participation is expected to persist through 2026, driven by cultural shifts and remote alternatives.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official U.S. survey data (e.g., Pew Research Center or Gallup) confirms a year-over-year decline in church attendance or membership numbers for 2026.
Source: user-generated
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