UK's aid cuts reduce total girls in school by 200,000 by 2027
Resolves: Official data from UNESCO, UNICEF, or a comparable organization shows a 200,000+ decrease in girls' secondary or higher education enrollment in Africa, Asia, or the Middle East for the 2026-2027 academic year compared to 2025-2026.
UK's aid cuts reduce total girls in school by 200,000 by 2027
Market overview
The withdrawal of the SHEFE program will result in a measurable decline in girls' higher education enrollment across targeted regions. Independent education tracking organizations report a 15% drop in enrollment targets for 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official data from UNESCO, UNICEF, or a comparable organization shows a 200,000+ decrease in girls' secondary or higher education enrollment in Africa, Asia, or the Middle East for the 2026-2027 academic year compared to 2025-2026.
Source: user-generated
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