China’s 2026 soybean imports from US exceed 30 million tons
Resolves: China’s annual US soybean imports (as reported by USDA FAS) total at least 30 million metric tons in 2026.
user-generated· macro
China’s 2026 soybean imports from US exceed 30 million tons
Market overview
China will surpass its 2025 import volume by purchasing over 30 million metric tons of US soybeans in 2026, driven by trade normalization and domestic demand recovery. This exceeds the USDA’s current forecast of 28 million tons.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China’s annual US soybean imports (as reported by USDA FAS) total at least 30 million metric tons in 2026.
Source: user-generated
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