Will the United States formally withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) by July 31, 2027?
Resolves: YES if the US government officially announces its withdrawal from the JCPOA by July 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Politics
Will the United States formally withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal (…
Market overview
The headline suggests Trump is close to signing a deal related to Iran. If this 'deal' refers to a withdrawal from the existing JCPOA, it would be a significant policy shift. This question assesses the likelihood of a formal US withdrawal from the JCPOA.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2029-08-22
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the US government officially announces its withdrawal from the JCPOA by July 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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