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user-generated· macro

U.S. Social Security trust fund depletion accelerates by 2028

The shrinking 45-64 cohort reduces payroll tax revenue while increasing claims on Social Security benefits. The 2026-2027 budget deficit will exceed $2 trillion, accelerating the depletion timeline of the Social Security trust fund to 2028, two years earlier than projected.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2028-12-31

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