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user-generated· macro

Venezuela GDP contracts by at least 5% in 2026 due to earthquake

The earthquake's destruction of critical infrastructure and displacement of thousands will trigger a severe contraction in Venezuela's already fragile economy. The IMF and regional banks project a 5-7% GDP decline for 2026, with no recovery in sight.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
85%
Closes
2026-12-31

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