OpenAI to release v1.0 AGI system by December 2026

Market overview

OpenAI's charter and CEO Sam Altman's AGI definitions suggest a competitive push toward systems surpassing human capabilities. Given rapid advancements in agentic AI and infrastructure, a v1.0 AGI system is likely to be announced within the year. This would include autonomous task completion across economic domains.

tech_stocks prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Source: user-generated

More tech_stocks markets

• Amazon will invest in AI safety startups by Q1 2027 — 65% Yes
• S&P 500 outperforms MSCI World Index by 10% in 2027 — 68% Yes
• NVIDIA stock gains 20% by 2027 on AI hardware demand for tire-changing robots — 65% Yes
• Competitor AI models face similar 'jailbreaking' flaws within 6 months — 68% Yes
• U.S. AI industry attracts over $100B in venture funding by 2027 — 65% Yes
• Anthropic Mythos retains slight edge over GPT-5.5 in cybersecurity tests — 70% Yes
• S&P 500 outperforms MSCI EAFE by 8% in 2026 — 75% Yes
• Anthropic Mythos will outperform GPT-5.5-Cyber in simulated cyberattacks by Oct 2028 — 60% Yes

Browse all tech_stocks markets →