user-generated· Legal
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for a c…
Market overview
Following US sanctions, the ICC may face increased pressure or internal motivation to assert its jurisdiction. This question explores whether the ICC will issue an arrest warrant against a US official, which would significantly escalate tensions.
Legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 20%
- Closes
- 2028-10-10
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the International Criminal Court officially issues an arrest warrant for any current or former US government or military official by 2028-10-10. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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