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Florida tourism tax revenue drops below $12 billion in Q1 2027

Resolves: Florida's official Q1 2027 tourism-related tax revenue (as reported by the Florida Department of Revenue) falls below $12 billion.

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Florida tourism tax revenue drops below $12 billion in Q1 2027

Market overview

Florida, which relies on tourism for a significant portion of its sales tax revenue (80.3% of state tax revenue in 2025), will see a decline in tourism-driven tax collections in Q1 2027 due to rising costs and economic uncertainty. This will prompt legislative discussions on alternative revenue sources.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

Florida's official Q1 2027 tourism-related tax revenue (as reported by the Florida Department of Revenue) falls below $12 billion.

Source: user-generated

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