Kentucky special election upheld under new law
Resolves: A Kentucky special election is held to fill a vacant U.S. Senate seat under the 2024 vacancy law, regardless of whether the law is upheld or not.
user-generated· legal
Kentucky special election upheld under new law
Market overview
Kentucky’s 2024 Senate vacancy law, which strips the governor’s appointment power, will face a court challenge if McConnell’s seat becomes vacant. Legal experts question its constitutionality, but the law is likely to be upheld or enforced pending a court ruling.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A Kentucky special election is held to fill a vacant U.S. Senate seat under the 2024 vacancy law, regardless of whether the law is upheld or not.
Source: user-generated
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