Will NVDA's stock price move less than 5% (up or down) in the 24 hours following its next earnings report?
Resolves: YES if NVDA's closing price on the day after its next earnings announcement is within +/- 5% of its closing price on the day of the announcement. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Economics
Will NVDA's stock price move less than 5% (up or down) in the 24 hour…
Market overview
The headline suggests options traders are betting on a 'quietest Nvidia earnings reaction in years,' implying lower-than-usual post-earnings volatility. A 5% movement threshold is a reasonable benchmark for 'quiet' given NVDA's historical volatility.
Economics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if NVDA's closing price on the day after its next earnings announcement is within +/- 5% of its closing price on the day of the announcement. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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