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sec_filing· Economic Conditions

Rising Defaults in Subprime Auto Loans

Market overview

Derived from ALLY AUTO RECEIVABLES TRUST 2022-2 (CIK 0001946472) 10-K filing analysis

Economic Conditions prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

A notable increase in subprime auto loan defaults (defined as 90+ days past due) exceeding 10% of the subprime segment by year-end 2026.

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