Milei renounces presidential bid by August 2026

Javier Milei's radical platform faces backlash from centrist parties. His withdrawal would shift focus to moderate candidates like Patricia Bullrich or Sergio Massa.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-08-15

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
• Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will any state pass legislation by 2026 to significantly alter its official racial or ethnic classification system for state-level data collection? — 40% Yes
• Will the US Census Bureau add a 'Middle Eastern or North African' (MENA) category to the 2030 decennial census? — 70% Yes

Browse all politics markets →