Deep-sea mining projects to face legal bans by 2028
Resolves: At least two sovereign states or international bodies (e.g., UN, EU, or regional treaties) implement legally binding bans or moratoriums on deep-sea mining activities.
user-generated· regulatory
Deep-sea mining projects to face legal bans by 2028
Market overview
Growing public and scientific backlash against deep-sea mining in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans will lead to at least two major international moratoriums or national bans by December 2028. These bans will cite irreversible ecological damage to deep-sea ecosystems as the primary justification.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least two sovereign states or international bodies (e.g., UN, EU, or regional treaties) implement legally binding bans or moratoriums on deep-sea mining activities.
Source: user-generated
More regulatory markets
- Crypto billionaire Harborne faces FCA scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will face FCA scrutiny — 60% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne’s donation triggers FCA inquiry into funding transparency — 70% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne will face parliamentary scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Harborne crypto holdings face regulatory scrutiny — 60% Yes
- SEC approves at least 2 new Bitcoin ETFs by Q4 2027 — 75% Yes
- SEC approves Kalshi's crypto futures products by 2026-Q3 — 55% Yes
- Iran's central bank bans crypto mining by 2027 Q1 — 85% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…