Egypt blocks another LGBTQ+ cruise by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Egypt officially denies entry to any LGBTQ+ chartered cruise ship between 2026-08-01 and 2026-12-31.
user-generated· event
Egypt blocks another LGBTQ+ cruise by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Given the recent denial of entry to the Scarlet Lady, Egypt’s government is likely to uphold or expand its exclusionary stance toward LGBTQ+ cruise ships. With no legal challenge filed yet, the likelihood of a repeat ban within six months remains high.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Egypt officially denies entry to any LGBTQ+ chartered cruise ship between 2026-08-01 and 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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