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OpenAI’s revenue from Microsoft exceeds $500M by Dec 2026

Resolves: OpenAI’s publicly disclosed annual revenue reports or Microsoft’s SEC filings confirm payments to OpenAI exceeding $500 million for the 12 months ending December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· earnings

OpenAI’s revenue from Microsoft exceeds $500M by Dec 2026

Market overview

OpenAI will generate over $500 million in revenue from Microsoft’s licensing and usage fees for GPT-5.6 and related services by December 31, 2026. This reflects sustained partnership and enterprise adoption despite market rumors.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

OpenAI’s publicly disclosed annual revenue reports or Microsoft’s SEC filings confirm payments to OpenAI exceeding $500 million for the 12 months ending December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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