Louisiana spaceport operational by 2032
Resolves: First commercial rocket launch from SpaceX's Louisiana spaceport occurs
user-generated· event
Louisiana spaceport operational by 2032
Market overview
SpaceX's Louisiana spaceport will conduct its first commercial launch within 6 years of construction start
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2032-08-25
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
First commercial rocket launch from SpaceX's Louisiana spaceport occurs
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Venus Aerospace stock or acquisition announced by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
- UK rail passenger numbers decline by 5% year-over-year in Q4 2026 — 60% Yes
- DSA loses next high-profile primary — 70% Yes
- France hosts UEFA Euro 2028 before 2027 — 72% Yes
- WHO declares mpox a PHEIC by Dec 2026 — 70% Yes
- Morocco will submit a formal bid to host 2030 World Cup final — 75% Yes
- South Africa flood-related fatalities exceed 50 by May 20 — 78% Yes
- Spain wildfire death toll exceeds 50 by end of 2026 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…