Germany's migrant smuggling convictions rise 30% by 2027
Resolves: Official German government or judicial data shows a ≥30% increase in convictions for migrant smuggling under the 2025 law.
user-generated· legal
Germany's migrant smuggling convictions rise 30% by 2027
Market overview
Germany will convict at least 30% more smugglers under its new anti-smuggling law compared to 2025.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-08-18
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official German government or judicial data shows a ≥30% increase in convictions for migrant smuggling under the 2025 law.
Source: user-generated
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