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OpenAI settles with Apple for $3.5 billion

Resolves: A signed settlement agreement between Apple and OpenAI is publicly announced by November 30, 2026, with OpenAI paying $3.5 billion or more.

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user-generated· legal

OpenAI settles with Apple for $3.5 billion

Market overview

OpenAI will reach a settlement agreement with Apple, agreeing to pay $3.5 billion to resolve the trade secret allegations. The settlement will include licensing provisions to avoid future disputes.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2026-11-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

A signed settlement agreement between Apple and OpenAI is publicly announced by November 30, 2026, with OpenAI paying $3.5 billion or more.

Source: user-generated

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