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user-generated· Politics

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 218 seats in the U.S. House…

Market overview

The headline suggests significant vulnerability for House Republicans, even in traditionally safe districts. This question assesses whether these concerns translate into a loss of their majority in the next presidential election cycle.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
45%
Closes
2028-11-15

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the official results of the 2028 U.S. House of Representatives general election show the Republican Party winning fewer than 218 seats. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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