Iran accepts direct U.S. ceasefire talks within 45 days

Trump’s public acknowledgment of Iranian outreach and stated willingness to negotiate suggests a diplomatic off-ramp. Given the intensity of U.S. strikes and Iran’s exposed coastal defenses, Tehran is likely to seek immediate de-escalation via formal talks. No prior public offer has been made by either side.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2026-08-23

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