Will the US fully lift oil sanctions on Venezuela by December 31, 202…

Market overview

The current US-Venezuela oil deal involves temporary sanctions relief. A full lifting of sanctions would require significant political progress, which is uncertain given the upcoming US elections and Venezuela's internal dynamics.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2026-11-29

More Politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Kim Jong Un faces significant controversy? — 57% Yes
• Will Unicorn Companies dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 77% Yes
• Will new charges be filed related to Donald Trump by H1 2026? — 18% Yes
• Will Donald Trump reach a settlement in Epstein-related lawsuits by June 2026? — 7% Yes
• Will Bill Clinton be subpoenaed in connection with Epstein case by Q2 2026? — 64% Yes
• Will Donald Trump make public statements about Epstein connections by March 2026? — 86% Yes
• Will Bill Clinton be subpoenaed in connection with Epstein case by Q1 2026? — 27% Yes

Browse all Politics markets →