Labour Party leadership election triggered by 2027-03-15

Market overview

With over 80 Labour MPs openly calling for Starmer's departure, the threshold for triggering a leadership election is likely to be met. The Labour Party constitution requires support from 20% of MPs to initiate a contest, which may happen by mid-March.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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