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user-generated· macro

Social Security trust fund depletion accelerated by Gen X decline

The shrinking 45-64 workforce reduces tax contributions while increasing claims. The Social Security Trust Fund is projected to deplete by 2033 per current actuarial models. The actual depletion could occur 1-2 years earlier due to Gen X retirement acceleration and lower-than-expected immigration inflows.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2028-12-31

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