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Will the US government publicly announce a reduction in sanctions against Hezbollah by December 31, 2027?

Easing tensions in Lebanon could involve a shift in US policy towards key actors like Hezbollah. This question explores whether the US will take a tangible step to reduce pressure on the group as part of a broader de-escalation strategy.

Implied probability (Yes)
15%
Closes
2029-08-31
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