IUCN Red List updates will classify 5+ new mollusk species as Critically Endangered by 2028
Resolves: The IUCN publishes a Red List update between 2026-07-10 and 2028-12-31 that classifies five or more mollusk species as Critically Endangered, with mining cited as a primary threat.
user-generated· event
IUCN Red List updates will classify 5+ new mollusk species as Critica…
Market overview
Following the 2026 report highlighting deep-sea mollusks' vulnerability, the IUCN will update its Red List by 2028 to include at least five additional mollusk species as Critically Endangered due to direct or indirect mining impacts.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The IUCN publishes a Red List update between 2026-07-10 and 2028-12-31 that classifies five or more mollusk species as Critically Endangered, with mining cited as a primary threat.
Source: user-generated
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