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Anthropic's revenue share holds above 40% by end-2026

Resolves: Anthropic's revenue share from AI token spending remains above 40% as reported in quarterly earnings or third-party market tracking (e.g., Vercel, OpenRouter, or similar dashboards) for Q4 2026.

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user-generated· earnings

Anthropic's revenue share holds above 40% by end-2026

Market overview

Anthropic maintains its dominance in AI spending despite open source growth. Data from Vercel and OpenRouter shows Anthropic's share remains above 40% through mid-2026, supported by premium pricing and early-stage deployment dominance.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Anthropic's revenue share from AI token spending remains above 40% as reported in quarterly earnings or third-party market tracking (e.g., Vercel, OpenRouter, or similar dashboards) for Q4 2026.

Source: user-generated

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