U.S. energy independence leads to net oil exports by 2029

The U.S. became a net oil exporter in 2025 and expanded production to over 15 million barrels per day by 2026. With continued investment in shale and renewable energy, the U.S. surpasses domestic consumption and begins exporting more than it imports.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Closes

2029-12-31

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →