Will any major Chinese tech startup (valued over $1 billion) publicly announce a significant downsizing or closure directly citing funding difficulties by June 30, 2025?

The 'unfolding dilemma' and 'cracks' imply that some startups may face existential threats. A high-profile failure or significant retrenchment would be a clear manifestation of these funding challenges. This would demonstrate the severity of the 'cracks'.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-09-10