Will the United States formally re-enter the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by June 30, 2025?

Trump's mention of an 'Iran peace deal' could imply a new agreement or a return to the old one. Re-entering the JCPOA would be a significant diplomatic shift, but Trump's past actions make this less probable, even if a new deal is discussed.

Implied probability (Yes)

20%

Closes

2026-09-10