US-China trade war tariffs partially rolled back by December 2026

Market overview

Greer's optimism about stabilizing trade relations and progress on agriculture purchases and rare earth supplies indicates a high likelihood of tariff reductions by year-end 2026. The truce extension would likely include modest tariff cuts, particularly on agricultural and industrial goods, as a confidence-building measure.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

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