user-generated· regulatory
EAC not fully restored by 2026 midterm elections
The EAC remains without a full quorum of commissioners through Election Day 2026 due to Trump's removals and delayed replacements. This outcome would indicate sustained political interference in election administration.
regulatory · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-11-04
More regulatory markets
- UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
- FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- UK government to allocate £200M for river clean-up by 2026 — 70% Yes
- FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
- Trump administration implements AI guardrails by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- FIFA reinstates Balogun suspension within 30 days — 70% Yes
- Mississippi will revoke xAI's turbine loophole by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
- Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes
Loading…