Will Iceland formally re-submit an application for EU membership by December 31, 2026?
Resolves: YES if the Icelandic government officially submits a new application for European Union membership to the European Council by the specified date. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Politics
Will Iceland formally re-submit an application for EU membership by D…
Market overview
Iceland's government has previously withdrawn its application for EU membership. While the current vote rejects accession talks, a future political shift could lead to a re-evaluation of this stance, though it's unlikely in the short term given the recent rejection.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 15%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the Icelandic government officially submits a new application for European Union membership to the European Council by the specified date. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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