user-generated· adoption
TikTok US daily viewing minutes exceed Netflix by Q4 2026
TikTok's average daily viewing minutes per US user will surpass Netflix by October 2026. This marks the first time TikTok overtakes Netflix in a major market, accelerating Netflix's shift away from long-form content.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-10-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Animal rights NGOs expand operations in Uganda by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Passive ETF inflows into SpaceX exceed $1.5 billion by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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