Will the UK government announce a VAT cut specifically for the hospitality sector (pubs and restaurants) by December 31, 2027?

Top chefs are calling for a 10% VAT cut, but the government has been hesitant to implement broad tax cuts. While pressure is mounting, the fiscal environment makes a specific sector cut less likely without broader economic justification.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2029-08-27