U.S. Social Security trust fund exhaustion by 2028

The shrinking 45-64 cohort reduces taxable payrolls while the 65+ population grows 16.2%. The Social Security trust fund is projected to be depleted as fewer peak earners support more retirees. The 2025 Trustees Report projected depletion in 2034, but the demographic squeeze accelerates this timeline.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2028-12-31

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