SpaceXAI loses 75% of pre-training team by Q3 2026

Given the reported departure of 11 pre-training staff since February, the team has likely shrunk from a baseline of ~15 to ~4. Extreme work culture and leadership instability under Musk’s merger will drive further exits. Meta and Thinking Machine Labs are aggressively hiring ex-SpaceXAI talent.

Implied probability (Yes)

85%