Texas sales tax revenue exceeds 88% of state tax by 2027

Texas, already at 86.6% sales tax reliance in 2025, will see further erosion of income tax collections as population growth and economic activity shift toward transaction-based revenue. This trend will be accelerated by new state-level tax policies favoring consumption over income.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2027-07-01

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