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Egypt and Turkey will block another LGBTQ+ cruise within 6 months

Resolves: At least one LGBTQ+-chartered cruise ship is denied entry to either Egypt or Turkey between 2026-07-13 and 2027-01-12.

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user-generated· legal

Egypt and Turkey will block another LGBTQ+ cruise within 6 months

Market overview

Given the recent bans on the Scarlet Lady, Egypt and Turkey will enforce similar restrictions on another LGBTQ+-chartered cruise ship by January 2027. Rising conservative policies in both countries increase the likelihood of further rejections.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2027-01-12

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

At least one LGBTQ+-chartered cruise ship is denied entry to either Egypt or Turkey between 2026-07-13 and 2027-01-12.

Source: user-generated

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