Will a civil lawsuit related to the fatal shooting be filed against the bar by December 31, 2027?
Resolves: YES if any civil lawsuit naming the bar as a defendant, directly related to the fatal shooting incident, is officially filed in a court of law by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
user-generated· Legal
Will a civil lawsuit related to the fatal shooting be filed against t…
Market overview
This question explores potential civil litigation. In cases of violence on premises, victims' families often pursue civil claims against establishments for negligence or inadequate security. The likelihood is high given the tragic outcome.
Legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2029-08-27
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if any civil lawsuit naming the bar as a defendant, directly related to the fatal shooting incident, is officially filed in a court of law by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
More Legal markets
- Will Baviskar's trading accounts be permanently restricted by November 25, 2026? — 95% Yes
- Will Ichcoin Tech Corp. settle with the SEC within 90 days? — 75% Yes
- Will any individual respondent settle with the SEC before year-end 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will the SEC announce a freeze on Ferder's personal assets by November 30, 2026? — 70% Yes
- Will Bonanza Global investors recover more than $1M by November 2026? — 25% Yes
- Will at least one respondent comply with subpoenas within 30 days of court order? — 65% Yes
- Will the court impose a civil penalty on Chavez by 2026-12-01? — 90% Yes
- SEC drops enforcement actions against major crypto exchanges within 12 months — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…