Reform UK leadership to elect new co-leader within 6 months of Ann Widdecombe's death
Resolves: Reform UK formally announces and holds a leadership election for a new co-leader within 6 months of Ann Widdecombe's death (by 2027-01-10).
user-generated· leadership
Reform UK leadership to elect new co-leader within 6 months of Ann Wi…
Market overview
Widdecombe served as a prominent Reform UK spokeswoman. Her death creates a leadership vacuum, prompting the party to hold a leadership election to replace her and maintain momentum ahead of potential elections.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-01-10
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Reform UK formally announces and holds a leadership election for a new co-leader within 6 months of Ann Widdecombe's death (by 2027-01-10).
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- Will CFO resign before 2026-12-31? — 40% Yes
- Rep. Edwards resigns from Congress before 2026 midterms — 55% Yes
- Chuck Edwards to resign before Ethics Committee ruling — 70% Yes
- Witkoff Rubio partnership gains influence in Middle East policy by 2027 — 55% Yes
- Edwards resigns from Congress by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
- Trump administration to nominate a more industry-aligned FDA chief by Labor Day — 68% Yes
- NRCC chair calls for town halls ban by 2027 — 60% Yes
- Will CEO Mark Zediker resign before FYE? — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…