Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year increase be 3.5% or higher for May 2024, as reported by the BLS?

The Beige Book's finding of 'inflation up across most districts' suggests that consumer prices are likely to continue their upward trend. This question assesses whether the broad inflationary pressures noted in the report will translate into a significant CPI increase.

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-01