Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026 because U.S. CPI year-over-year falls below 2.2% by December 2026?
Resolves: The market resolves to YES if the Federal Reserve has enacted three or more interest rate cuts by December 31, 2026, AND the U.S. CPI year-over-year rate was below 2.2% at any point in December 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2…
Market overview
This market asks whether the Federal Reserve will implement at least three interest rate cuts in 2026, contingent on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year inflation rate falling below 2.2% by December 2026. It focuses on the interplay between inflation indicators and monetary policy decisions.
Economics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Volume
- $0
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The market resolves to YES if the Federal Reserve has enacted three or more interest rate cuts by December 31, 2026, AND the U.S. CPI year-over-year rate was below 2.2% at any point in December 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
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