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user-generated· macro

10Y US Treasury yield to exceed 4.25% by 2026-12-31

Italy's return to dollar bond sales may signal a broader shift in global investors' preferences toward higher-yielding assets, increasing pressure on US Treasury yields. Additionally, ECB policy normalization could reduce liquidity, pushing yields higher.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-12-31

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